Showing posts with label Election 2008. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Election 2008. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Great Tea and A Good Deal of Common Sense; Tories Switching to Obama

The Telegraph just did a survey of conservative MPs in Parliment in London. More than a third are abandoning historic ties with the USA Republican Party and speaking out in favor of Democrat Barack Obama. (I always have liked the British-- starting back with watching Monty Python in my youth)

Almost a third of Tory MPs willing to publicly express their preferences in the US presidential election are prepared to jettison their party's historic links with the Republicans and back Democrat Senator Barack Obama.

A Telegraph survey of the Conservative parliamentary party indicates that "Obamamania" has reached the opposition benches of the House of Commons, presenting a dilemma for David Cameron, the Tory leader, when he meets Mr Obama in London on Saturday.
Hail Britannia!
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Monday, July 21, 2008

VP Stakes: Ted Strickland Edition

So, people keep telling me we need Ohio. Ted has been mentioned on quite a few shortlists and would supposedly help bring home his state.
In his Governor's race;

Strickland easily won the Democratic primary on May 2, 2006, winning 80 percent of the vote. In the November general election, he was challenged by Republican Secretary of State Ken Blackwell, Libertarian economist Bill Peirce and Green Bob Fitrakis, but won handily on November 7, 2006, capturing 60% of the vote. Blackwell finished in a distant second with 37% of the vote.
He's a bit conservative for me, and the NRA loves him... but he is popular in Ohio-- he's a gov. rather than a Senator. Police and first responder orgs love him. And he seems like he would be a fighter.
I think Cupcake Rollins would have a mixed reaction? Your thoughts?

P.S. Strickland passes the tlg photo test with bonus points since he has 2x the Obama factor in his picture.

P.P.S. He also says he does not want the post but insiders say he would serve if asked.
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Sunday, July 20, 2008

On Site in Kabul, A Friend's Impressions Of Waiting to See Barack

My friend, who is serving in Afghanastan wrote me last night about his impressions of waiting to see Barack. Can't say his name as you really can't be out politically while serving active duty but he said I could post his view to share with all of you.

Just got to see Sen Obama on his way from the US embassy in Kabul. You should have seen the security coverage, several Blackhawks circling as his chinook came in and following his motorcade out. Though seeing him (from a distance) out here is thrill, even more exciting was the crowd of service members from many nations who waited for a momentary glimpse.

Of course, out here (almost) any excitement is welcomed in the stretches of boredom that accompany duty in Afghanistan, but as we waited for something to happen for over an hour the discussion of everyone's feeling and thoughts for the election and Afghanistan's future revealed just how much people out here are pinning their hopes on the US to make a good call this November and for the next president to get things done to recover from recent setbacks.

These are the guys and gals who have been on multiple combat tours, some here, many in Iraq, and sound bites about "Cutting and Running" or "Bring It On" don't go far. They want intelligent discussion and results.

I hope American voters are smart enough to demand the same for the next few months, and the next four years.

As everyone focuses on each little shift in campaign strategy, each media story of the day, I hope they remember that momentary disappointments or elation need to be kept in the context of the folks dying out here. Lost another Coalition soldier yesterday afternoon, and it has been a rough week for civilian casualties in the crossfire with a resurgent Taliban.

Very glad Sen Obama knows this is where he should be, if only for a day or two.

As one British Sergeant exclaimed, "I just got a photo of the next
President of the United States!" I do hope he is
right. -- Kabul, Afghanistan
I was happy to get a second email from my friend this morning. He did get to meet Barack in person and sent me a picture. He was smiling from ear to ear.
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Thursday, July 10, 2008

VP Stakes; The Brian Schweitzer Edition


Ok, this one is definitely not one I am thrilled about but it is being floated. Given other efforts to reach out to "Values" voters Schweitzer, is socially conservative, pro-gun and very popular in Montana. Not really my type of Pol but he has a following.

As you can tell from the split-screen photo, the Gov. of Montana does not pass the tlg-photo-test. (I could not find any good pics of BHO and Schweitzer together) But he fits the strong governor vs. senator bill, which is even more important now that the weak willed senate caved on FISA.

Some highlights from his wikipedia page...

*Schweitzer currently has one of the highest gubernatorial approval ratings in the nation, with polls regularly showing a rating of around 70 percent.

8he has a Master of Science in soil science from Montana State University.

*He worked as an irrigation developer on projects in Africa, Asia, Europe and South America. He spent several years working in Libya and Saudi Arabia and speaks Arabic. (I found that bit surprising)

I have to admit that the travel abroad and understanding of the Middle East, Africa and Asia is a big plus to me. His speaking Arabic is also a big bonus.

He has made a lot of news being against gun control AND being a very outspoken critic of the REAL ID legislation.

One big downside is that his science degrees and irrigation work could be a good thing, BUT I suspect he is more a big-ag-monsanto type rather than a al-gore-save-the-planet type...

He was the USDA guy under Bill Clinton. Need to read up more on that time period for the Dept. of Agriculture. I suspect it was a time a mixed messages and bad food policy, though better than under Reagan, Bush the First and certainly better than Bush the Second.

So... Obama-Schweitzer '08? Your thoughts?

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Tuesday, July 8, 2008

VP Stakes: Jim Webb Update

Sen. Jim Webb, D-Va., removed his name from consideration Monday as a potential vice presidential running mate for presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Sen. Barack Obama.
That answers that question.

next?
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VP Stakes: The Ed Rendell Edition


The vetting continues. Ed? What can I say... I am not objective. I lived in Philadelphia (Philly) while he was mayor. He changed the city in a really positive way. And he bridged an enormous gap between the suburbanites and the inner city dwellers in a way not seen before.


I was NOT surprised when he handily won the Governorship, twice.

As VP he brings to the table a lot of executive experience, but no foreign affairs experience. He was a big supporter of the Clintons as we all know and so he can speak with credibility to Bill & Hill's fans who's feathers are still ruffled. As you can see, he passes my photo test.

He is a do-er. A good fundraiser. And I think he would be OK with the second seat. He did a great job in my city, and state and he would bring a good solid win in PA. He would certainly not be the kind of VP candidate that could not win his own state.

He was 1996 Municipal Leader of the Year.

On the downside, as I said... no real foreign affairs credentials. And not a lot of name recognition west of Ohio. And he is a bit "in" with the beltway Bobs and Betties. He was also one of the dems praising fox for their coverage of the primary. (boo) But he took good care of the city of brotherly love and the keystone state.

Your thoughts on Vice President Rendell?

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Saturday, June 28, 2008

The Hardships of the Rich


I feel so bad for Cindy today, her life must be so difficult. It turns out that she has not paid her property taxes on a La Jolla condo for about 4 years.

When you’re poor, it can be hard to pay the bills. When you’re rich, it’s hard to keep track of all the bills that need paying. It’s a lesson Cindy McCain learned the hard way when NEWSWEEK raised questions about an overdue property-tax bill on a La Jolla, Calif., property owned by a trust that she oversees. […]

County officials say the trust still owes an additional $1,742 for this year, an amount that is overdue and will go into default July 1. Told of the outstanding $1,742, the aide said: “The trust has paid all bills shown owing as of today and will pay all other bills due."- Newsweek
They just keep making it easy. I mean really-- gee, I am so rich it is hard to remember to pay all my bills? For FOUR years? Damn, I wish I had those kind of hardships to deal with.
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Friday, June 27, 2008

In a Town Called Unity

UNITY, N.H. — Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton set off on their maiden political voyage on Friday, trading their rivalry from the presidential primary battle for a newfound display of harmony intended to set a fresh tone for any Democrats still harboring bitterness from their grueling duel.

It was a day of choreographed unity — their destination was a rally here in this small western New Hampshire town — with the two senators appearing together before the cameras for the first time. Three weeks after suspending her campaign, Mrs. Clinton renewed her endorsement and pledged to do all she could to help Democrats win the White House in the fall.-- New York Times
Ok-- start your engines ladies and gents, let's get this thing done. What are you planning in your areas to get out the vote? What are your plans to raise awareness? What is your donation strategy? (Budget now, we need you.) Are you registered to vote yet? If not, why the hell not? Plan now how you are going to get at least 2 other non registered friends or family to participate this year. Each and every one of us needs our own personal field plan. We have just about 4 months left. What are you going to do to help end this 8 year nightmare?

One of my friends went to the Unity NH event and posted this photo of the buses lined up in neighboring town pick up points. This was just at one pick up stop of many... I think the repubs are in some serious trouble.

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Thursday, June 26, 2008

The Gap


As I have wandered around the internet, I have seen plenty of post primary pie fights that are not about candidates but about differences in thinking. Some of the most vehement lingering anti-Obama sentiment seems to be expressed in outrage directed at "cultural creatives" or internet activists, or those naïve young people that bought into the Obama campaign.

I have been thinking about this since one particular angry thread in a previous piece here about Ivo Daadler. The thread became something more about a perception (I believe an incorrect one) of anti-intellectualism and at the same time anti-blue collar. These opposing angers came from some of the same commentors—which is what kind of tipped me off to the fact that there might be something else going on.

The anger that was expressed seemed beyond the subject matter being discussed and I have been thinking about it ever since.

I am sure I am not going to be able to get to the heart of this on my first try. But here is some of what I have been thinking.

What people really fear, or hate, or lash out against—is not differences of thinking or ideas, or even core belief disagreements, we seem to be able to have those without resorting to angry name calling (trolls not included) and ranting. But what gets people really going is the idea of being left-out, left behind, disregarded or not taken seriously.

This is important as we go forward. The bitterness-bs, the angry women over 50, the poor in the Appalachia region—the older activists who cut their teeth during the 50's and 60's—what makes them angry and frustrated is the thought that they will be left behind in the new political and economic constructs being discussed and also that they have been left behind for so long already and we need to fix that.

The Netroots needs to take this very seriously. We need to learn to talk about stuff better, include more people, reach out, listen and learn from people that have historical knowledge. We can't go arrogantly forward without doing this or we will certainly pay a price. We need to pay attention to what people are feeling, not just what they are saying. Technology divides, and economic paradigms are going to be the new divide, not unlike what immigrant families in the 20's-50's felt when they came here and their children learned to speak a different language and understand a different reality. That generational divide might be a good model to consider as we face this political divide.

The folks that feel the fear of being left out also need to meet us halfway. Many already are. They are reading and posting and interacting here on the internet. For some that is a big step.

For the 60's activists many are just beginning to come back into politics after being disappointed and disillusioned that their first efforts did not change the world's ills as they had hoped. But we still need to ask them to do more.

Meet in the middle. Look at your own anger and think about what might really be going on. And be patient with newer netroots types. Be understanding that some of what fuels cultural creatives is the same optimism and hope that fueled great change in the 60's and 70's. That hope helped end the Vietnam war, and pass the civil rights legislation.

We need that kind of hope now because the odds are always against positive change and the people on the front lines need to believe it can happen in order to keep their courage. Don't stand behind us and whisper in our ears that we are foolish and it will never work. Give your knowledge and your advice but don't be angry that we willingly believe that maybe this time things can be at least a bit different.

How can we work across these various ideas, histories, and economic realities? I don't know-- but I bet many of you have some strong ideas.

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Wednesday, June 18, 2008

VP Stakes: The Jim Webb Edition


Sen. Jim Webb is popular, has loads of military experience, and is a very no-nonsense guy. People are calling for this pairing. I think he makes a lot of sense talking about the economy and the dangerousness of the enormous gap in wealth and opportunity in the USA. Smart as hell. Not as progressive as I would like... but lots going on in his big brain. Southern. I think "Cupcake" Rollins would like this one too.

Obama-Webb '08? Your thoughts?

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John McCain: Older than Carbon Dating



It was pointed out to me, by our own Tokyo Terri, that carbon dating was developed in 1949, by a team led by Willard Libby. John McCain was already a teenager when Libby and his team did their Nobel prize winning work. Ageist?-- I think not.

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Sunday, June 15, 2008

VP Stakes; The Wishful Thinking Edition

Ok, I am pretty darn sure that neither of these choices will happen this year-- and I think winning pres. once and having it stolen from you would make someone disinclined to go for the number 2 seat again. (are there term limits for Veep?)

BUT-- I just love both of these guys, and especially Howard would make a great V.P.. He is a political fighter for "We the people." (this post is a special gift to my good friend and long time fellow Deaniac, Terri) Barack was a great supporter of his in '04 and vice versa.

So if wishes were enough to make it so; I bring you these two choices.

OBAMA-GORE '08

or OBAMA-DEAN '08


This second choice is particularly unlikely given that Barack just asked Howard to stay on as his DNC chair marshaling forces in the 50 state strategy. There are some much more likely choices to vet in future posts, no worries. I felt like being a little bit of a political dreamer today. Thanks to our commentors for excellent suggestions for future posts.

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The V.P. Stakes; The Edwards Edition


John Edwards endorsement was an important point in the primary. He supports many of the best of the progressive stands on the issues that have been discussed in this very long election cycle. Sen. Edwards was very popular in the primary season espeically in the blogosphere. He has been a powerful voice against lobbyist influence and a powerful voice for universal health care and for ending poverty across our country.

His vice presidential role on the '04 campaign trail was not all that it could have been. It is unknown if this was because of tenisions between the top and bottom halves of the ticket, or just general poor campaign management but he certainly could have been a stronger more valued voice in that cycle.

We have quite a few regulars who started out this year as Edwards supporters-- so I suspect a few of us would be thrilled to see him on the ticket.

On a personal note, I had the chance to help the Edwards team last year as a volunteer at Yearly Kos. I was the person who was assigned to help him back stage and to help him get from the end of the debate to the town hall session he conducted in another area of the chicago convention center. He was warm, gracious (let me have a picture taken with him-- which was honestly a thrill-- you can see it posted in our GNB Facebook page.) And his townhall was fantastic. He answered so many questions, some of them quite challenging, and he did it with intelligence and an open spirit.

I think an Obama-Edwards ticket would be a strong one. The are a handsome pair in a photo too! (though I am actually hoping for Edwards as AG) I think the official GNB Vetter, "Cupcake" Rollins would like this ticket, how about you?

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Saturday, June 14, 2008

The VP Stakes; the Richardson Edition


This pair has been widely speculated about. I personally think it unlikely though I am a big Richardson fan. I love his stance on veterans issues, and again he has tons of foreign affairs creds. He is a Gov. not a senator... which helps, and he passes the tlg photo test. In fact, there are hundreds of photos of Obama and Richardson together. But I think we will see him offered a big cabinet position. I don't think he will be Veep.

He is on many short lists, and various folks have suggested that he helps bring the Hispanic vote. I have talked to some friends who work in the Hispanic caucus and other political positions though and they say he is not really thought of as a "Hispanic Candidate" by many within the community. So I am not sure on that point.

He is from a good geographic area for ticket balance, and as I said he is passionate about helping our vets which is one of my favorite things about him. His idea for a heroes health card was one of the best, small, doable ideas I heard during the entire primary season.

Oh, and I love the goatee. But still somehow he does not seem like the one.

Let the GNB vetting begin.

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Friday, June 13, 2008

VP Stakes: The Sebelius Edition


Kathleen Sebelius has gotten attention over the last few years as a successful D-Governor in the very R state of Kansas. She is an iconic figure for a unity ticket. She brings some of the disappointed women voters back to the table and helps end a lot of the talk about Obama being sexist. BUT she will also perhaps, make a lot of Hillary supporters angry if he chooses a woman who is not Hillary. She is catholic which would help bring in a strong segment of that voting population.

This part really got me interested;

She was first elected to the Kansas House of Representatives in 1986. In 1994 she left the House to run for state insurance commissioner and stunned political forecasters by winning — the first time a Democrat had won in more than 100 years. She is credited with bringing the agency out from under the influence of the insurance industry. She refused to take campaign contributions from insurers and blocked the proposed merger of Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Kansas, the state's largest health insurer, with an Indiana-based company. The decision by Sebelius marked the first time the corporation had been rebuffed in its acquisition attempts.-wikipedia

She has been endorsed by planned parenthood.
She is pro gun ownership but anti-concealed-carry law.
She is a strong environmental candidate.
Though she is not a supporter for gay-marriage laws she is an opponent of anti-gay marriage constitutional amendments and voted against one for Kansas. (though it passed with 70% support!)

As for my impressions; she did not do an amazing job on the rebuttal of the SOTU speech this year but she seems smart, principled, thoughtful. She must be a fighter to take on the insurance industry. She knows how to work with republicans but still push forward many items on a progressive agenda. I am left with a feeling that I want to know more and I will be interested to see and hear more about her.
What do you all think?

Reading up on Obama Sebelius '08;

http://www.wibw.com/localnews/headlines/19735104.html

http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/06/12/meet-the-vp-candidate-kathleen-sebelius/
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Thursday, June 12, 2008

V.P. Stakes: The Wes Clark Edition


Another name floated... Gen. Wes Clark. He had a strong following in '04. The draft Wes Clark folks would be enthusiastic foot soldiers. He also stumped hard for '06-- esp. in his support of Jim Webb and others.

He is not a senator. He has leadership experience, foreign affairs creds., older. He was a Hillary supporter-- but has also said he would always support the nominee. Good for unity.

The downsides? (I am sure you all will mention a few) For me, he never really made his case in '04. He has no domestic/legislative experience at all-- but that is not a necessary qualification for the job. But the big one for me is that with the huge money spent on the military industrial complex, I have not been crazy about the idea of a life-long military man as the next stop in the line of succession.

On a petty note-- he blinks a lot on camera and I don't think he is a political fighter (I am kind of looking for an attack dog to back up our guy.) I think if H. "cupcake" Rollins should be given a job on the V.P. vetting squad if he is not on the short list. What do you think Henry would think of Wes?

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Wednesday, June 11, 2008

It's the Look in His Eyes


Something about the photo just "gets" me. The look in that young boy's eyes is amazing, as is the pride in the face of the older man next to him. (his father?) Hope is not such an abstract thing when you see a photo like this. This one is part of an excellent photo series by TIME.

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Tuesday, June 10, 2008

V.P. Stakes Continued


According to E.J. Dionne Jr. today, foreign policy expertise is the new cool-- so his promotion of Biden to the short list makes perfect sense. The Pa. connection is good too, and he certainly is scrappy. I have had my serious differences with Biden in the past but for V.P. he might be a good balance on the ticket. Older, experienced, loads of foriegn affairs cred. Not bad.

I visited with Biden because he should be at the top of any list of vice presidential picks for Obama. Why Biden? In part because of where he took our discussion: Few Democrats know more about foreign policy, and few would so relish the fight against McCain on international affairs. Few are better placed to argue that withdrawal from Iraq will strengthen rather than weaken the United States.

The worst thing in a running mate is the fear of muddying his or her image in political combat. Biden would be a happy warrior.

He was born in Scranton, Pa., an essential state for Democrats, and has been a regular in the Philadelphia media market. Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, himself a plausible No. 2, has called Biden "a perfect fit." The senator has been through two of his own presidential campaigns, in which he experienced what an acquaintance of his called the "white-hot heat" of scrutiny. -E. J. Dionne Jr.
Plus he has run for president so often that most of the skeletons must be out there by now. One hopes. I would prefer to have a governor on the ticket and not another senator, but you can't have everything. Obama-Biden '08? (Not as cool as Obama & "cupcake" Rollins '08, but then what is?)
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Friday, June 6, 2008

It's His Party Now



Sen. Obama is taking the reigns, making it clear that he and his campaign, with the support of Gov. Dean and Party leaders, will be making the decisions in this race. In a series of bold moves, he has established his position clearly, honestly, and powerfully.

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Thursday, June 5, 2008

Interesting Display and Interactive Exit Poll Data- How they voted.


This is one of the best ways I have seen the voter exit poll data displayed. Shows where we are strong going forward, where we need to shore up support. I would love to see this done for projective polling data for McCain vs. Obama as we go into the general.

Interesting stuff. Technology is a grand thing.
h/t to my friend David Welton who pointed this NYTIMES piece out to me.

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