Showing posts with label New Hampshire. Show all posts
Showing posts with label New Hampshire. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 9, 2008

New Hampshire Numbers, 62% Voter Turnout


850,836 Registered Voters

525,870 Voted, making an amazing 62% turnout.

55% Voted for Democratic candidates
45% Voted for Republican losers candidates


Clinton 21.3%
Obama 19.9%
McCain 16.8%
Romney 14.3%
Edwards 9.3%
Mr 9/11 3.9%

There's more...

Tuesday, January 8, 2008

NH Called for Hillary Clinton!


Clinton, Hillary Dem 67,828 39%
Obama, Barack Dem 62,736 36%

UPDATE: If we ignore the bad polling, then.. Obama got a bounce from Iowa and captured a good bit of ground from Hillary. He was down 20 points a month ago. I think that the Anti-Hillary vote went to Obama and Edwards. If there was not semi-strong 3rd candidate, I think Obama gets those votes.

It wasn't the crying. It was the reaction to the crying.

The other factor someone mentioned is maybe New Hampshire is more racist than Iowa. Which I find hard to believe. Iowa is so white, Nebraska looks like it has a tan. But...
There's more...

NH Update 63% of Precincts

Clinton   65,129 39% 
Obama 60,766 36%
Edwards 28,088 17%

Geez, this is wild.
There's more...

NH Update The Margins

Rep Clinton Obama Diff "+/-
28% 27,106 24,369 2,737 000
31% 29,452 26,874 2,578 -159
34% 33,091 29,685 3,406 828
37% 35,184 32,093 3,091 -315
39% 37,037 34,196 2,841 -250
42% 40,090 37,766 2,324 -517
44% 43,118 40,318 2,800 476
46% 46,206 43,118 3,088 288
48% 49,941 45,850 4,091 1,003
50% 52,610 48,933 3,677 -414
53% 53,878 50,413 3,465 -212
55% 55,909 52,524 3,385 -80
59% 59,439 55,987 3,452 67
61% 62,009 57,941 4,068 616
62% 63,040 58,666 4,374 306
63% 64,743 60,322 4,421 47

There's more...

NH Update 15% Reporting

Clinton           17,393 40% 
Obama 15,574 36%
Edwards 7,304 17%
Richardson 1,913 4%
Kucinich 815 2%
There's more...

NH Update 13% Reporting

Clinton       16,739 40% 
Obama 14,829 35%
Edwards 6,993 17%
Richardson 1,817 4%
Kucinich 798 2%

Its still a small percentage of overall vote which is expected to be half a million.
There's more...

NH Update 12% Reporting

Race being called for John McCain. No surprise there. (Kicked Romneys ass)

There's more...

Dems with larger percentage of overall vote

63%

Percentage of overall vote in New Hampshire for Democratic Candidates.
There's more...

NH Update 10% Reporting

Clinton      10,746 38% 
Obama 10,412 36%
Edwards 4,740 17%
Richardson 1,233 4%
Kucinich 575 2%
There's more...

NH Update 9% Reporting still

Clinton      10,566 37% 
Obama 10,288 36%
Edwards 4,650 16%
Richardson 1,222 4%
Kucinich 572 2%

Tightening up.
There's more...

NH Update 9% Reporting

Clinton    10,135  38%  
Obama 9,811 36%
Edwards 4,455 17%
Richardson 1,175 4%
Kucinich 527 2%

Clinton still leading...
There's more...

NH Update, 6% Reporting


Clinton 6,095 37%
Obama 5,855 35%
Edwards 2,797 17%
Richardson 721 4%
Crow 436 3%
Kucinich 300 2%
There's more...

NH Update, 4% Reporting

Obama    3,783  39%  
Clinton 3,193 33%
Edwards 1,634 17%
Crow 434 4%
Richardson 419 4%
Kucinich 180 2%

juuuuuust getting started...
There's more...

Quiet

Its quiet out there. Almost too quiet.

There's more...

Another Huge Turnout, This Time in New Hampshire

UnionLeader.com: Large voter turnout reported
MANCHESTER - Updated, 12:21 p.m. Long lines of people formed inside polls this morning minutes after they opened at 6 a.m. for the New Hampshire presidential primary
There's more...

Sunday, January 6, 2008

Obama Has Momentum


Barack Obama in New Hampshire (Jan 4, 2008). Click for LARGE size.
photo EMMANUEL DUNAND/AFP/Getty Images.


Obama 10% Over Clinton With 42.5 Hours Till Polls Open

Just after midnight Tuesday, New Hampshire voters in Hart's Location (Carroll County) and Dixville Notch (Coos County), will cast their ballots.

Barack Obama has massive momentum.

Hillary Clinton needs to do something, anything, to change the conversation.

This is what she's up against...

Washington Post

NASHUA, N.H. -- The line snaked for at least a half mile from the entrance of Nashua North High School. The first people in it had arrived at 7:30 a.m. -- two-and-a-half hours before Barack Obama was scheduled to start speaking. One woman had driven from West Hartford, Conn. The crowd was estimated at 3,000 and looked every bit of that number.

The movement has begun.

The Fix has long believed that the lone path for Obama to the Democratic nomination was to transform himself from a candidate into a movement. That is, by voting for Obama people would believe they are choosing something greater than simply a political candidate, that they are supporting a cause to change the way politics in America has been conducted.

In his speech here this morning, Obama cited the results in Iowa as a sign that things had changed in America politics. "A few days ago something special happened in the Midwest," Obama said to loud cheers. "The people of Iowa decided to set aside their fear and cynicism and reach for what is possible."

He cast New Hampshire as the next step in that process, a chance to validate the change that Iowa had voted for on Thursday. "In three days time you have the chance to continue that journey," Obama told the audience. "We are on the cusp of creating a new majority." Echoing perhaps the single best campaign commercial run so far in this race, Obama urged the crowd: "Our moment is now."

That message -- that in voting for Obama Americans are opting for a broad change in the way politics is conducted -- is VERY powerful and will be exceedingly difficult for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) or anyone else to overcome.

Put another way: Obama's opponents are playing checkers while he is playing chess. When Clinton or John Edwards speak, they are regarded by those in attendance as politicians. Obama -- at least at the moment -- is seen as the leader of a movement.
If -- no matter what I said Thursday night -- Hillary Clinton has any chance, I echo and embrace what Jane Hamsher said at Firedoglake...

Clinton must shake everything up right now, or it's over.

NOW is the time for HRC to reject her war vote. NOW is the time for HRC to vow to go with our next Senate Majority Leader, Chris Dodd back to Washington to filibuster the FISA Bill. NOW is the time for HRC to introduce a new bankruptcy bill. NOW is the time for anything, 'cause Clinton is 10 points down and I think it's 15.

Everyone knows Hillary has experience. Ain't working for her.

“The 90s? Uh-huh. That's great... What have you done for me lately?”

Do I think she has the ovaries to shake everything up on a dime? I do not. Do I think Bill “The Comeback Kid” Clinton did?

Betcha your ass.

That is why Bill Clinton came in second in New Hampshire (I lived and voted in Amherst, NH in the winter of '91) and the Big Dog left with a HUGE bump in the polls while Paul Tsongas lost all his momentum in the press -- which is where it counts. And that, my friends, was freaking that.

HRC's lack of political instincts -- let us be blunt, her lack of courage to go with the flow, her lack of nerve to bet her entire political future on one stunt, one giant throw of the dice, sums up why you, Hillary Clinton, are about to get your ass royally kicked.

Actually it says, in the most blunt way possible, why perhaps, you shouldn't be President. You don't have a feel for Leadership. You have a feel for Legislating.

I am ever mindful we are electing a team of people, not a candidate.

It has not escaped me at all that till he was beat the hell up by the progressive blogosphere for several days, Obama did not have a single payer option in his health plan; it was a give away to the insurance companies. Even now, I am not satisfied, and this isn't the only place he's way too far in the middle for me.

Of all three major candidates, Obama is the most corporate in my view. He smiles and talks a lot about vision and change, but who he surrounds himself with are corporate advisers. And he takes their money with a smile.

But at the moment, none of that seems to matter. Platforms and facts are no longer at issue.

Obama has momentum. Unless Clinton finds some way to shift it, momentum will carry everyone straight into the voting booths for Obama Tuesday, a week from Tuesday, and all the way to Super Tuesday.

If Obama is nominated, will I work my ass off to get him elected? Count on it.

If Obama takes New Hampshire, which short of Clinton shifting the conversation radically in the next 42.5 hours, I think he will by 15 full points (not the current 10) as I think this isn't a bump, it's a wave and a direction and a force, I think Obama has the Big Mo and it's taking the United States for a ride to November.

If he keeps going this way, Obama will sweep the primaries through South Carolina, Florida, into Super Tuesday and run the table.

Regardless of who takes the Republican nomination, if Obama is nominated, he wins the general 60/40 with 100 electoral votes. I haven't seen this much genuine excitement around a candidate since Bobby Kennedy.

Our Moment Is Now
There's more...

Saturday, January 5, 2008

New Hampshire New Rasmussen Poll

Obama 37%
Clinton 27%

McCain 31%
Romney 26%


Put that in your pipe and smoke it.

There's more...